SEC Picks Week 3!

So last week went 1-2, which is another lost unit. So we're 2 units down, but don't fear, we're getting more information and soon we're going to really be in conference play where we can start making some bigger unit moves. Let's see what we got.

1 unit plays:

Georgia v. South Carolina +16: I like GEORGIA -16 in this game. Normally, you'd say entirely too many points. In fact the public is mostly betting on SC because of that factor. But the problem is that SC is playing a backup QB, they only have one real weapon in the WR arsenal, and their run defense was gashed by Kentucky. Georgia's running back is even better, and the Georgia defense has been better in all facets. It's worth a one unit play.

Kentucky v. Florida -3.5: I like KENTUCKY +3.5 in this game. The spread is favorable in my mind since this could be a one-score game. Florida is struggling to make things happen against easy teams, and Kentucky just shut down a SC team that's likely about on par with East Carolina. I'm using transitive properties a bit here, but I think Kentucky's QB situation is way better than Florida, as is their running game. Kentucky can score enough to keep it really interesting if not win it outright and shock Florida in the process.

Texas Tech v. Arkansas -12: I like ARKANSAS -12 in this game. The world is going to bet against Arkansas after what happened. I'm going full contrarian pick here and taking the Hogs with less than 2 TDs to try and fade out the public. An SEC team usually bounces back after that kind of embarrassment.

Nevada v. Texas A&M -35: I like NEVADA +35 in this game. Texas A&M has a ridiculous defense. Nevada may not score more than 14 points this entire game. However, Vegas has set the bar really high on this number, and A&M who is already 2-0 ATS is due for a pull-back at some point. I'm betting it's now. It's a bit contrarian as well, but now is the time to do it on small plays.

Coin flip picks:

Connecticut v. Missouri -21.5: MISSOURI -21.5
Auburn v. LSU -7: AUBURN +7 (Rebound factor)
Ole Miss v. Alabama -7: OLE MISS +7 (if Ole Miss's offense is real, this is a shootout)

Tennessee, Mississippi State, and Vandy are all playing cupcakes that aren't lined. So they are out this week.

GOOD LUCK!