SEC Picks Week 12!

No preview this week because the games are mostly awful. There's one that stands out: Ole Miss and LSU. But the problem is that game still effectively only carries a negative. IF Ole Miss loses, that clinches the West for Alabama. However, I don't think negatives are important enough to preview since an Alabama win over Auburn is all it will take to clinch as well, regardless of the Ole Miss outcome.

With that said, here's the picks!

3 Unit Play:

LSU @ Ole Miss -6.5: OLE MISS -6.5 - Strategy play here, but the betting community is 76% on LSU, while the spread has moved from -4.5 open to -6.5 line. That tells you the large money is on Ole Miss and that's where I'm heading too.

2 Unit Plays:

MS State @ Arkansas -4.5: ARKANSAS -4.5 - Arkansas is the hotter team right now, and I've doubted them enough this year. But at home? In a game that essentially means nothing to MS State now? I like the hogs.

Tennessee @ Missouri +7: TENNESSEE -7 - Tennessee has been a disappointing favorite this year only going 3-3 in those games ATS, but Missouri is worse and can't really score. Assuming Tennessee can put 14 points on the board, they can cover.

Texas A&M @ Vandy +7: TEXAS A&M -7 - Yes it's Vandy at home and Vandy has done a great job as an underdog. But this is prisoner of the moment stuff and Texas A&M is a much better team than Vanderbilt, regardless of A&M getting punked by Auburn.

1 Unit Cupcake Plays:

Florida Atlantic @ Florida -31: FLORIDA -31 - Spread's huge and the gamblers are lining up to go the other way given Florida's struggles, but this is a 2-8 team in a bad league playing an SEC East Champion. Florida blows doors in the Swamp.

The Citadel @ South Carolina -20: THE CITADEL +20 - Interesting spread here, because I think at -21 South Carolina action swings to the Citadel, and if it's swinging on one point, I'll take the points.

Idaho @ Auburn -34: AUBURN -34 - Another game where the popular pick is Idaho and the points, but the big money is pushing the line from 31 to 34. That means the sharps are on Auburn and so am I in this one.

Charleston Southern @ Alabama -38.5: CHARLESTON SOUTHERN +38.5 - This is a fair line, and one that's really tight. Nick Saban traditionally doesn't give a damn about these games, and he'll call off the dogs when he feels he's made his point. I'm taking the points.

Georgia Southern @ Georgia -13.5: GEORGIA -13.5 - People are afraid of taking Georgia in this game, which is dumb. They think because Georgia's offense stinks this will be close. No, it won't. Georgia wins and wins big to prove a point because Richt knows he needs style points.

Charlotte @ Kentucky -24.5: CHARLOTTE +24.5 - I wouldn't lay 24.5 points on Kentucky playing against a high school team. And while Charlotte's defense is terrible, they can still score points. And I'm not sure that Kentucky can put up 34+ on them, which they will need to cover this.